Simulation-Based Bayesian Analysis
نویسندگان
چکیده
I consider the development of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods, from late-1980s Gibbs sampling to present-day gradient-based methods and piecewise-deterministic processes. In parallel, show how these ideas have been implemented in successive generations statistical software for Bayesian inference. These packages instrumental popularizing applied modeling across a wide variety scientific domains. They provide an invaluable service statisticians hiding complexities MCMC user while providing convenient language tools summarize output model. As research into new remains very active, it is likely that future will incorporate improve experience.
منابع مشابه
Bayesian analysis of simulation-based models
Recent advancements in Bayesian modeling have allowed for likelihood-free posterior estimation. Such estimation techniques are crucial to the understanding of simulation-based models, whose likelihood functions may be difficult or even impossible to derive. One particular class of simulation-based models that have not yet benefited from the progression of Bayesian methods is the class of neurol...
متن کاملSimulation-Based Sequential Bayesian Design
We consider simulation-based methods for exploration and maximization of expected utility in sequential decision problems. We consider problems which require backward induction with analytically intractable expected utility integrals at each stage. We propose to use forward simulation to approximate the integral expressions, and a reduction of the allowable action space to avoid problems relate...
متن کاملConfirmation via Analogue Simulation: A Bayesian Analysis
Analogue simulation is a novel mode of scientific inference found increasingly within modern physics, and yet all but neglected in the philosophical literature. Experiments conducted upon a table-top ‘source system’ are taken to provide insight into features of an inaccessible ‘target system’, based upon a syntactic isomorphism between the relevant modelling frameworks. An important example is ...
متن کاملSimulation-based Bayesian inference for epidemic models
A powerful and flexible method for fitting dynamic models to missing and censored data is to use the Bayesian paradigm via data-augmented Markov chain Monte Carlo (DA-MCMC). This samples from the joint posterior for the parameters and missing data, but requires high memory overheads for large-scale systems. In addition, designing efficient proposal distributions for the missing data is typicall...
متن کاملA Simulation-based Analysis
ABR will be one of the primary available ATM service for carrying data. Since it is based on the use of excess bandwidth in the network, it is expected to have a lower cost usage. Although, it is intended for nonreal time applications, the inclusion of a minimum cell rate (MCR) makes it an attractive and economical candidate for the transmission of delay tolerant video applications. Therefore, ...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Annual review of statistics and its application
سال: 2023
ISSN: ['2326-8298', '2326-831X']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-statistics-122121-040905